-
Ridings to Watch – Saskatoba
Yesterday, I looked at Alberta. Today, we head east. Keep in mind, there’s not a lot of polling data from the Prairies, so this is a fairly superficial overview. Any intel those of you on the ground have is greatly appreciated! Wascana There are some certainties in life. Sun goes up, sun goes down. Tide […]
-
Ridings to Watch – Alberta
Over these final 5 days of the campaign, I plan to take a look at the seats to watch in each region, with a little help from my seat projections. There’s not much in terms of new polls today, so I’ll save the updated projections for tomorrow. Luckily, you don’t need a complex simulation model […]
-
We Urge You To Vote For These Losers
A look at some Globe & Mail endorsements over the years. I must stress that these are actual editorials, about the candidates they are endorsing. This is not satire. 2011 – Stephen Harper: That is the great strike against the Conservatives: a disrespect for Parliament, the abuse of prorogation, the repeated attempts (including during this […]
-
Rise Up Liberal Resurrection Rally, Featuring JC
You can watch online here. As much of a Chretien fan as I am, game 7 won out tonight, so I’ll be watching from home. But I’ll try to live blog the highlights during commercials. 8:01 pm: Someone from the crowd chants “3 more years” as Ken Dryden takes the stage. Which, I guess, is […]
-
Your Daily Seat Projections
Today’s vote numbers include the new Nanos, Ekos, Angus, and Forum polls: Popular Vote (change since yesterday in brackets): CPC: 36.3% (-1.5)NDP: 26.6% (+3.5)Lib: 23.8% (-1.5)Bloc: 6.9% (-0.4)Green: 5.5% (+0.4) As a reminder, the following projections are based on 10,000 simulations, taking into account the polling margins of error, how shifts in regional support have […]
-
Better Know a Future NDP MP
Some people in the comments section think I’ve been “unfair” to the NDP of late. And maybe I have been. After all, if Jack says he can solve Canada’s doctor shortage by paying new doctors $3,472 a head, then who am I to doubt him? The man has a nice smile, so I guess he […]
-
A reminder on the definition of "surprise"
From Lysiane Gagnon, a little over a month ago: Don’t expect a Quebec surprise As a federal election looms, Quebec might be the quietest place in Canada – the province will yield no surprises, and the battles will be relatively tame. While Ontario and British Columbia are the ones to watch, chances are that the […]
-
Ad Watch: Attacking Jack
Over the past week, the Liberals launched a pair of attack ads going after the NDP (and a new positive spot). I present the second here, asking for your comments and ratings. Personally, I’m not so sure bringing up 2005 will do much for voters – it was 6 years ago, and I fail to […]
-
This Week in Alberta: A Look at the Calgary Grits
Running for the Liberals in Calgary is about as difficult as it gets. On most nights of door knocking, you’ll be held personally responsible for the Sponsorship Scandal, the NEP, and the Flames missing the playoffs. To endure that kind of abuse with little hope of victory, you need to believe passionately in your party’s […]
-
Your Daily Seat Projections
Given the number of polls we can expect this week, I’ll offer a quick seat projection update each afternoon around this time. For today: Popular Vote (change since yesterday in brackets): CPC: 37.8% (-0.8)Lib: 25.3% (-0.4)NDP: 23.1% (+1.1)Bloc: 7.3% (-0.3)Green: 5.5% (+0.4) As a reminder, the following projections are based on 10,000 simulations, taking into […]