Calgary Grit

Obama +2 in North Dakota – a state a Democrat hasn’t won since 1964 Obama and McCain tied in North Carolina – a state a Democrat hasn’t won since 1976Obama up by 3 in Virginia – a state a Democrat hasn’t won since 1964 Obama and McCain tied in Indiana – a state a Democrat […]

Love him or hate him, Jason Cherniak has done a lot for Liblogs and has been a “must read” for years. So it’s a shame to see him calling his blogging career quits. Hopefully he’ll be back one day.

I hate to sound cynical, but if it wasn’t for that bonus sixth point, I’d swear that Harper’s new six point economic plan sounds a lot like Dion’s five point economic plan which Harper was attacking just a week ago. Actually, that’s not fair. Only two of the points are lifted directly from Dion’s notaplan. […]

ResultsElections CanadaWikipediaSFUNodiceFringe Parties Ad WatchThe Winners Bad Actors Love Harper (CPC)See the Softer Side of Jack (NDP)Jack Attack (NDP)Green Shift (Liberal)Viva Loss Vegas (CPC)Harpernomics (Liberal)Jack Attaque (NDP)Pot PourriBushwacked (Liberal)Runaway Train (Greens)Doodling Dippers (NDP)Subtle Micro-Targeting (CPC) Projections and PredictionsThroughout the campaign, I used public polling data to project seat totals. The first set of projections, explaining […]

So, for the second time in our country’s history, we’ve got a third straight minority government. It’s also the first time Canada has elected back-to-back Tory minorities which probably isn’t overly significant, but it’s a fun bit of trivia (if by “fun” you mean “horribly depressing”). Yes, it’s a disappointing result, but there were many […]

This is your chance to make predictions for tomorrow – either on popular vote, seat totals, or on any of the close riding races you’ve been following that you think might surprise people. The final projections from the Calgary Grit simulation model are at the bottom of this post – but, before then, here’s what […]

On the Net: Kinsella has “when they were younger” pictures of the party leaders. Fagstein runs down the newspaper endorsements – the Globe goes with Harper, the Star with Dion, and the Sun goes with Layton. Projections, Polls, Predictions: Will all be posted here tomorrow.Apparently Judy Sgro and John McCallum were unavailable: Conservative MP Heckles […]

Initial Reaction: So much for “the economy is strong”. Ad Intent: Duh. Tag Line: Stephane Dion. Not Worth the Risk. Things that Work: This one gets the message across and plays on what has become the only issue of the campaign – the economy, specifically, economic uncertainty. Things that Don’t: I can’t find any glaring […]

…is that the Tory monopoly may get broken up on Tuesday. But it won’t be Anne’s old riding that falls…

How Stephen Harper’s cozying up to the nationalists and the nation resolution were going to lead to a major breakthrough in Quebec?