Tonight, British Columbians head to the polls, looking to give Gordon Campbell a third straight majority. No doubt, the province will be in a testy mood following the Canucks’ elimination last night, so the real question is who they’ll take their anger out on.

Had I been living in BC four years ago, I probably would have voted for the NDP and against STV. This time around, I’d flip both those votes. I’m not familiar on all the local issues, but it does seem clear that a Liberal defeat would scare any government away from carbon pricing for at least a decade. As for STV, I’m not as fanatical about electoral reform as some bloggers out there, but the system preserves the accountability of FPTP, so I don’t see any harm in giving it a try.

While looking at the polls in a province with a reputation for wild politics like BC might be fool-hardy, here’s what the pollsters are saying:

Ipsos
Lib 47%
NDP 39%

Innovative
Lib 46%
NDP 37%

Angus Reid
Lib 44%
NDP 42%

Mustel
Lib 47%
NDP 38%

Average it all out, and you’re looking at a very similar map to 2005.