Corey Hogan is in. George Dadamo is out, presumably to run municipally in Calgary.

Other candidates can still declare for the Liberal nomination by June 8th, but you have to figure that Hogan (the campaign manager of Dave Taylor’s ALP bid) would have the edge over any other challengers.

So how would Mr. Hogan fare? Well, at first blush, the riding looks like a lock for the Tories – the PCs handily won 51% to 33% in 2008, and 50% to 35% in 2004. Still, the 2004 results in Glenmore mirror those in neighbouring Calgary Elbow, and the 2007 by election there (after Klein’s retirement) saw Liberal Craig Cheffins win the riding by a comfortable 7% margin.

Now, the Elbow by election was obviously a different ball game since:

a) Ron Stevens, while popular, is no Ralph Klein.
b) The visceral hatred of Stelmach that flowed through Calgary in early 2007 seems to have dried up.
c) PC candidate Brian Henninger ran a fairly under whelming campaign.

But with what will certainly be abysmally low voter turnout, the Alberta economy cooling down, and a rumoured Danielle Smith Wild Rose candidacy to split the vote, this one might just make for an interesting race.

UPDATE: Former Liberal candidate and all around nice person Avalon Roberts will also try for the nomination.