By elections have a life of their own. It’s an exercise in futility to project them and it’s foolhearty to use them as barometers of where public support is shifting. Especially when most people were voting for Julian Fantino or Kevin Lamoureux, rather than for the Conservative or Liberal Parties.

But, since we all know the media will use them to write the all powerful narrative, we should at least get the numbers straight.

So, here are the cummulative numbers from the three by elections.

Change in average share of vote
Lib +10% (from 24% to 34%)
CPC -1% (from 40% to 39%)
Green -4% (from 6% to 1%)
NDP -7% (from 30% to 23%)

Change in total votes
Green -5,475 (from 6,875 to 891)
Lib -6,929 (from 33,976 to 27,047)
CPC -13,474 (from 42,555 to 29,081)
NDP -13,476 (from 24,442 to 10,966)