I’m volunteering for my local Liberal candidate for most of the day and will be at the campaign party tonight, so updates might be a bit sporadic – especially since I plan to spend an hour or two at some point curled up in the fetal position in tears.

But rest assured, I will log on here a few times tonight to share my thoughts on the results. So consider this an open thread to post your thoughts on what could be a historic election.

Some things I’ll be paying attention to tonight:

1. Harper’s majority: People often dwell on the “155” number, but when you consider resignations, floor crossings, and by elections, every extra MP in that 150-160 range is a big deal. I’ve got Harper projected at 151 seats and a 28% chance at the majority, so it might be late into the night before we see how the dust settles.

2. The independents: Arthur, Ford, and Guergis all stand a chance of winning tonight. Can you imagine how delicious it would be if Harper needed Helena’s vote to get his majority?

3. Liberal incumbents: A lot of Liberal MPs I like and respect could be in tough tonight – Kennedy, Trudeau, and Dryden to name a few.

4. Harper’s Cabinet: Lawrence Cannon seems likely to be going down, but he’s not the only Quebec Cabinet Minister in jeopardy. 308 is also predicting Peter MacKay will lose – I have a hard time believing that, but it would be the stunner of the night.

5. The NDP in Quebec: The NDP could win 20 seats in Quebec…or they could win 50. I can’t remember the last time a province was this unpredictable heading into election night. Their performance in Quebec will be an excellent case study in just how important the ground game really is.

6. May: It’s going to be a close one. What happens in Saanich tonight could very well decide how relevant the Green Party is in Canada over the next decade.

7. Gilles Duceppe: This will almost certainly be his final campaign. The only question left is whether or not he holds his own seat, and just how bad it gets for the Bloc.

Those are just some of the things I’ll be watching for tonight. I’m sure we’ll be treated to a few surprises along the way too.