Turning of the Tide


SES is the first polling company to have some results from what has been a truly horrific week for the Liberals between Klander and Income Trusts.

Today’s results:

Lib 35%
CPC 34%
NDP 15%
BQ 13%

In itself, these numbers aren’t the end of the world. But, consider a few things:

1. SES has consistently shown the Liberals well in front throughout this campaign.

2. Yesterday, SES had the Liberals up 38-32. If we assume all three days in the rolling poll were roughly equal, that means that the single day totals for Thursday (albeit with a high margin of error) were probably in the neighborhood of 29% for the Liberals and 38% for the Tories.

3. I can’t remember the last time I’ve seen the Conservatives at 34% in the polls. If they get 34% on election day, they’ll form government.


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